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September 27, 2022

U.S. Voters

Voters News, tools and information

538 Releases Generic Congressional Ballot Tracker: Who’s Leading?

1 min read

Check out the tracker for yourself: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-generic-ballot-polls/
Hey guys, in this video we will talk about 538’s new generic congressional ballot tracker and who is leading at the moment. Thanks for watching, and I’ll see you in the next one!
Contents:
0:00 – Intro
0:44 – What is the Generic Ballot?
1:52 – How Accurate is it?
4:20 – Historical Generic Ballot Patterns Under Republicans
7:49 – Historical Generic Ballot Patterns Under Democrats
9:42 – What is the Margin Right Now?
11:56 – What do Republicans Need to Flip Congress?
Links:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

Our Best Tool For Predicting Midterm Elections Doesn’t Show A Republican Wave — But History Is On The GOP’s Side


https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-generic-ballot-polls/
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2020_generic_congressional_vote-6722.html
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-generic-ballot-polls/2018/
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2016_generic_congressional_vote-5279.html
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/generic_congressional_vote-2170.html
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2012_generic_congressional_vote-3525.html
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2010_generic_congressional_vote-2171.html
https://www.yapms.com/app/?t=USA_2022_senate

News Source: Political Predictions and Analysis

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