Check out the tracker for yourself: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-generic-ballot-polls/
Hey guys, in this video we will talk about 538’s new generic congressional ballot tracker and who is leading at the moment. Thanks for watching, and I’ll see you in the next one!
0:00 – Intro
0:44 – What is the Generic Ballot?
1:52 – How Accurate is it?
4:20 – Historical Generic Ballot Patterns Under Republicans
7:49 – Historical Generic Ballot Patterns Under Democrats
9:42 – What is the Margin Right Now?
11:56 – What do Republicans Need to Flip Congress?